A few numbers worth knowing if you have a hearing in front of Judge Wagner, Clarence M., JR. (IJ code CMW, Honolulu, HI):
Overall track record
16 years on the bench (since 2011), 4,632 cases total, lifetime grant rate 30.2%
Last 3 years (2023–2026): 987 cases, grant rate 33.0% — roughly in line with the Honolulu court average (35.0%)
Nationality breakdown (2023–2026 cumulative)
Nationality / Cases / Grant rate China 354 54.5% Mexico 82 2.0% Philippines 74 17.3% Honduras 62 4.0% Venezuela 61 3.4% Federated States Of Micronesia 46 0.0% Guatemala 41 14.7% Russia 33 72.0% Bangladesh 24 4.8% Unknown Nationality 17 26.7% Colombia 13 20.0%
Year-by-year
2023: 178 cases, 49.3% grant rate 2024: 217 cases, 34.5% grant rate 2025: 349 cases, 34.1% grant rate 2026: 243 cases, 17.2% grant rate
If you've appeared before Judge Wagner, I'd love to hear:
1. What's your nationality, and when was your most recent hearing?
2. How did your attorney prepare for this judge specifically?
Source: EOIR (U.S. Executive Office for Immigration Review) public statistics, May 2026 release, compiled by AsylumTracker. A judge's historical pattern does not predict the outcome of any individual case; this is shared to help set realistic expectations. Real-experience accounts from the community are welcome.