A few numbers worth knowing if you have a hearing in front of Judge Caley, Steven (IJ code SDC, Portland, OR):
Overall track record
10 years on the bench (since 2017), 6,017 cases total, lifetime grant rate 12.5%
Last 3 years (2023–2026): 3,742 cases, grant rate 12.7% — 6.9pp above the Portland court average (5.8%)
Nationality breakdown (2023–2026 cumulative)
Nationality / Cases / Grant rate Mexico 1254 5.9% Guatemala 684 6.0% Cuba 504 33.3% Peru 236 0.9% Venezuela 167 15.8% Colombia 161 5.8% Honduras 140 6.7% Nicaragua 102 11.6% El Salvador 72 10.9% Russia 64 75.4% China 40 63.6%
Russia applicants see a 75.4% grant rate versus 0.9% for Peru applicants — a 83.7× gap on this judge's docket.
Year-by-year
2023: 253 cases, 12.7% grant rate 2024: 385 cases, 43.3% grant rate 2025: 1258 cases, 15.8% grant rate 2026: 1846 cases, 3.3% grant rate
If you've appeared before Judge Caley, I'd love to hear:
1. What's your nationality, and when was your most recent hearing?
2. How did your attorney prepare for this judge specifically?
Source: EOIR (U.S. Executive Office for Immigration Review) public statistics, May 2026 release, compiled by AsylumTracker. A judge's historical pattern does not predict the outcome of any individual case; this is shared to help set realistic expectations. Real-experience accounts from the community are welcome.