A few numbers worth knowing if you have a hearing in front of Judge Padron, Kristie A. (IJ code KAP, Sterling, VA):
Overall track record
5 years on the bench (since 2022), 2,506 cases total, lifetime grant rate 15.8%
Last 3 years (2023–2026): 2,442 cases, grant rate 14.6% — 3.5pp above the Sterling court average (11.1%)
Nationality breakdown (2023–2026 cumulative)
Nationality / Cases / Grant rate Honduras 813 7.5% Guatemala 648 8.5% El Salvador 557 22.7% Mexico 79 3.8% Peru 75 16.7% Venezuela 67 25.0% Nicaragua 46 31.7% Colombia 23 21.4% Bolivia 19 9.1% Ecuador 17 17.6% Afghanistan 12 63.6%
Nicaragua applicants see a 31.7% grant rate versus 3.8% for Mexico applicants — a 8.2× gap on this judge's docket.
Year-by-year
2023: 234 cases, 24.4% grant rate 2024: 536 cases, 17.6% grant rate 2025: 978 cases, 12.2% grant rate 2026: 694 cases, 11.9% grant rate
If you've appeared before Judge Padron, I'd love to hear:
1. What's your nationality, and when was your most recent hearing?
2. How did your attorney prepare for this judge specifically?
Source: EOIR (U.S. Executive Office for Immigration Review) public statistics, May 2026 release, compiled by AsylumTracker. A judge's historical pattern does not predict the outcome of any individual case; this is shared to help set realistic expectations. Real-experience accounts from the community are welcome.