A few numbers worth knowing if you have a hearing in front of Judge Baez, Lucy (IJ code LCB, Sterling, VA):
Overall track record
4 years on the bench (since 2023), 2,697 cases total, lifetime grant rate 11.6%
Last 3 years (2023–2026): 2,693 cases, grant rate 11.6% — roughly in line with the Sterling court average (11.1%)
Nationality breakdown (2023–2026 cumulative)
Nationality / Cases / Grant rate Honduras 605 9.3% El Salvador 438 13.1% Guatemala 424 0.0% Mexico 200 3.1% Venezuela 187 18.3% Peru 185 4.7% Colombia 123 1.0% Nicaragua 92 22.4% Cuba 61 20.0% Ecuador 47 4.8% Afghanistan 33 71.0%
Year-by-year
2023: 323 cases, 20.9% grant rate 2024: 632 cases, 12.7% grant rate 2025: 1035 cases, 12.6% grant rate 2026: 703 cases, 5.2% grant rate
If you've appeared before Judge Baez, I'd love to hear:
1. What's your nationality, and when was your most recent hearing?
2. How did your attorney prepare for this judge specifically?
Source: EOIR (U.S. Executive Office for Immigration Review) public statistics, May 2026 release, compiled by AsylumTracker. A judge's historical pattern does not predict the outcome of any individual case; this is shared to help set realistic expectations. Real-experience accounts from the community are welcome.